SECTOR ANALYSIS

The Congress government promised comprehensive farmer support through the Rythu Bharosa scheme (Rs 15,000/acre) and a complete crop loan waiver. As of March 2026, approximately half the targeted farmers have received loan waivers. The per-acre support falls 20% short of the promised amount. Farmer suicides have increased significantly compared to the BRS government's final year, with 793 recorded between December 2023 and November 2025. Paddy procurement covers only 38% of production, leaving farmers to sell at prices well below MSP.

The education sector shows significant gaps between promises and delivery. Government school enrollment has dropped by 5.65 lakh students. Over 2,200 schools have zero enrollment — the second highest count in India. Food safety in government schools became a crisis in 2024 with 43+ student deaths from food poisoning, prompting NHRC intervention. The promised Vidya Bharosa education cards have not been implemented. The 'international schools in every mandal' promise was quietly replaced by the YIIRS programme, of which 28 foundation stones have been laid but none are operational. Education spending as a percentage of total expenditure stands at 9.0%, compared to the 15.0% national average.

The Congress manifesto promised 2 lakh government jobs in the first year. As of March 2025, 57,946 posts have been filled — 29% of the target. Youth unemployment in Telangana stands at 20.1%, compared to the national average of 14.6%. For urban young women, the rate is 28.6%. The promised Rs 4,000 monthly unemployment allowance has not been implemented; Deputy CM publicly denied the promise was ever made, though the manifesto explicitly includes it. IT sector net new jobs fell from 1,27,594 to 40,285.

Property registrations in Hyderabad fell 25% year-on-year in September 2024, with HYDRAA demolitions cited as a contributing factor. Housing sales declined to 61,722 units — the largest drop among Indian cities. Metro Phase 2 (76.4 km expansion) has been approved on paper but zero construction has started. L&T is exiting Phase 1 operations after Rs 625.88 crore in cumulative losses, with the government acquiring its stake for Rs 15,000 crore. The Pharma City project has secured MoUs worth Rs 11,100 crore but no companies are operational. IT exports grew 11.2% but net new jobs fell sharply from 1,27,594 to 40,285.

State debt is projected to reach Rs 5,04,814 crore by end of 2025-26. The Congress government borrowed Rs 1,52,918 crore in its first 15 months — a pace that exceeds BRS's borrowing trajectory (Rs 2.8 lakh crore over a decade). Revenue surplus collapsed from Rs 5,944 crore in 2022-23 to Rs 297 crore in the 2024-25 budget estimate. GST growth is near-flat (0-1%) against a national average of 9-10%. The six guarantee schemes consume Rs 56,000 crore annually from the budget, while Kaleswaram project debt servicing costs approximately Rs 10,000 crore per year.